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Cheep and cheerful: how chickens took over Aussie dinner plates

Executive Director, Food, Beverage and Agribusiness, ANZ

2025-10-01 00:00

 

Are we nearing peak chicken?

Between 2000 and 2010, Australians added an average of over 13 kilograms of chicken to their annual diets. From 2021 to 2024, however, the increase was barely one kilogram. While chicken remains the most consumed meat in Australia, per capita growth has clearly slowed.

This has raised the question of whether Australia has reached ‘peak chicken’.

However, a more detailed analysis suggests that while individual consumption levels may be plateauing, overall volume growth remains solid, largely driven by demographic expansion and market diversification.

Chicken’s role is shifting from rapid expansion to more strategic consolidation. In this phase, sustaining dominance means understanding consumer segments, evolving preferences and efficiency in production, processing and distribution systems – not just chasing growth in tonnes of meat, chicken burgers or frozen wings.

This same pattern is emerging in other mature markets, such as the United States and the United Kingdom, where per capita chicken consumption is also levelling out.

In contrast, emerging economies like China, India and much of Southeast Asia are still well below ‘peak chicken’. In China, rising incomes, urbanisation and concerns over pork supply and food safety have helped poultry gain share, especially in processed and quick-service formats.

In India, where beef and pork are less widely consumed, chicken is the fastest-growing meat protein, with gains across both traditional wet markets and modern retail.

The demographic engine: what’s driving new demand

In Australia, the story is no longer about individual consumption growth, but about population-driven volume. From 2022 to 2024, the nation’s population grew by nearly one million people, driven primarily by net overseas migration. Per capita chicken consumption edged up only slightly – from 49.6 to 51.25 kilograms – but total demand surged.

This dynamic highlights the power of demographic tailwinds in a mature market. Chicken is broadly accepted across many cultural and religious groups, giving it a strong foothold in Australia’s increasingly diverse population. Migrants from India, China, the Middle East and Southeast Asia are more likely to choose chicken as their primary protein – whether by cultural preference, religious permissibility or dietary restriction.

Changing cuts, changing kitchens

While total consumption growth is slowing, complexity within the category is increasing.

Chicken thighs are gaining popularity over traditional breast fillets, favoured for their juiciness, flavour and suitability for slow-cooked dishes like curries, stir-fries and braised meals. Bone-in cuts are in demand among multicultural households, particularly for recipes such as tandoori chicken, chicken adobo or traditional soups and stews where bones enhance flavour and authenticity. These shifts reflect not just taste, but changing lifestyles, cooking techniques and cultural influences.

Food media and online influencers have accelerated the mainstream acceptance of diverse dishes and cuts. Cooking shows champion flavour rich, slow-cooked meals. Recipe apps celebrate cost-effective bone-in options. Chicken’s neutral flavour profile allows it to absorb spices and sauces from a wide range of global cuisines, giving home cooks greater creative flexibility.

Fast food, faster growth

Chicken’s growth story is especially visible in quick service restaurants (QSR). Australians are eating more chicken in burgers, wings, wraps and tenders – with younger, multicultural and urban consumers driving much of this shift. New QSR entrants – including Korean-style chains and global brands expanding their chicken menus – are gaining traction, while long-established players like McDonald’s and Hungry Jack’s have significantly expanded their chicken offerings.

This shift in consumer habits is translating into serious market value. Chicken QSR sales in Australia are projected to exceed $4 billion by 2032 – underscoring how food service, not retail, is becoming the main engine of growth.

Strategic investment is now flowing into format innovation (think Nashville hot chicken or Korean fried wings), as well as omnichannel models that integrate dine-in, takeaway, drive-through and delivery. Globally, this trend is accelerating.

In the United States, McDonald’s and Taco Bell are redesigning menus to highlight chicken.

Across Asia, international-style chicken chains are booming in places like Singapore and the

Philippines. In India, McDonald’s has built its entire meat menu around chicken – with localised options like the McSpicy Chicken and Chicken Maharaja Mac.

For Australian chicken farmers and processors, this adds complexity. Supplying modern QSRs means more than just delivering volume; it means creating the right cut, marinade, portion size or prep method for the right outlet, consumer group or cuisine. Supermarkets are evolving too, offering products like Asian-style marinated drumsticks and halal-certified thigh fillets to meet rising demand.

In this new phase, the challenge isn’t more chicken – it’s smarter chicken: the right format, for the right occasion, delivered through the right channel.

Why investors love chicken

Chicken is not just a consumer favourite – it has become one of the most sought-after assets in agribusiness investment. In 2024, global private equity firm KKR acquired ProTen, Australia’s largest meat chicken farm operator, in a deal worth over $600 million.

ProTen produces about 20 per cent of Australia’s broiler chickens, supplying major processors and fast-food chains. The purchase marked one of the largest agricultural investments of the year, signalling how institutional investors view chicken production as a stable, scalable and resilient business with strong long-term returns.

This trend is not unique to Australia. Private equity firm TPG Capital acquired Ingham’s from the Ingham family in 2013 for around $880 million, later listing it on the ASX in 2016. Globally, Advent International has invested in Brazil’s BRF, one of the world’s largest poultry exporters. In Europe, CapVest Partners acquired Eight Fifty Food Group, consolidating protein assets including poultry processor Karro. In Asia, Affinity Equity Partners invested in South Korea’s Harim Group, while in North America, Paine Schwartz Partners has focused on poultry-adjacent agribusinesses such as animal health and genetics firms that underpin the global chicken value chain.

Many of the same factors that drove chicken’s dominance at the dinner table – short production cycles, supply chain control and consistent affordability – also underpin its appeal to investors.

Conclusion: not less chicken – just a different chicken

Chicken’s rise has been a defining shift in food systems around the world – from Australia to Asia, Europe and America.

While its growth story is no longer just about bigger volumes, it is evolving into something even more dynamic.

This is no longer just a volume game. Chicken’s next chapter is about agility – finding the right mix of products, formats and experiences to match the world’s changing tastes. From peri-peri tenders in Lagos to lemongrass chicken bowls in Ho Chi Minh City and schnitzel wraps in suburban Brisbane, the chicken category is reinventing itself in real time.

Michael Whitehead is Executive Director, Food, Beverage and Agribusiness at ANZ

The views and opinions expressed in this communication are those of the author and may not necessarily state or reflect those of ANZ.

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